Tudor Black Bay 58: price, pre-owned value and real depreciation (2026)

The Black Bay 58 changed Tudor's image. Presented in 2018, it brought the dive watch back down to 39 mm, gave it an in-house movement and sold it at a price that puts it at just over a third of a Submariner. On the pre-owned market, however, it follows a very different logic from its Rolex cousin: here, depreciation is the rule, and that is good news for the buyer.

A dive watch inspired by the 1950s

The Black Bay 58 owes its name to 1958, the year of the Tudor Oyster Prince Submariner 7924, known as the "Big Crown". It takes up its codes: a 39 mm case, restrained thickness, "snowflake" hands, round indices and gilt details on the black version. The case is water-resistant to 200 m, with a screw-down crown and a unidirectional bezel with an aluminium insert.

The heart of the watch is the calibre MT5402, a manufacture movement certified by the COSC, with a power reserve of about 70 hours. That is what made its success: an in-house, chronometer-certified movement in a compact case, at a retail price that long stayed under €4,000.

Its older sibling, the 41 mm Black Bay, shares the look but not the proportions. For market value, the two track each other closely, with the 58 having a slight demand advantage thanks to its diameter.

The versions to know

The range has widened since 2018. For market value, five versions count:

• The black (M79030N), the original version, with gilt details: the most common and most liquid.
• The blue "Navy" (M79030B), introduced in 2020, with a navy blue bezel and dial and silver details.
• The bronze (M79012M), sold in Tudor boutiques, whose case develops a patina over time.
• The 925 (M79010SG), in solid silver with a sapphire caseback and calibre MT5400.
• The 18K (M79018V), in yellow gold, with a green dial, the most expensive and least liquid.

Depending on the year, each version comes on a riveted steel bracelet, leather, fabric or rubber. The steel bracelet is the most sought-after configuration on the black and the blue.

2026 value grid by reference

The ranges below cover watches in good condition and complete (box, warranty card, booklets), recorded at certified dealers and in private sales in Europe. Retail prices are indicative, French 2026 price list, rounded, for the most common configuration.

To place your example, the Black Bay 58 page and the valuation tool refine by year, version and accessories.

Depreciation, openly

Unlike Rolex sports models, the Black Bay 58 resells below its retail price, with a depreciation of around 15 to 30% according to our surveys. Three reasons explain it:

1. Availability. The Black Bay 58 can be found in boutiques without waiting, sometimes with a discount from retailers. There is no waiting list to feed a premium.
2. Retail price increases do little for pre-owned: the new watch has gone up, but the pre-owned buyer compares with what they can negotiate in a boutique.
3. Volume. The 58 has sold in large numbers since 2018: pre-owned supply is plentiful, which stabilises prices at a reasonable level.

The good news is that this depreciation happens mostly in the first two years. A Black Bay 58 bought pre-owned in 2026 then loses little value, which makes it a purchase with decent value retention for anyone not paying the new price.

What makes the difference between two examples

For the same version, the price gap comes down to a few factors:

• The steel bracelet. A black delivered on leather or fabric trades €200 to €400 below the same watch on a steel bracelet, which is expensive to buy separately.
• The [full set](/glossaire/full-set): box, booklet, warranty card and any secondary strap. A complete box makes the sale easier more than it raises the price.
• The warranty. Tudor guarantees its new watches for five years: a 2024 watch reassures more than a 2019 one.
• The condition of the aluminium bezel insert, which scratches easily, and of the case, which you should avoid having polished.
• The bronze's [patina](/glossaire/patine), which divides opinion: some buyers seek it out, others have it removed. It is neither a defect nor a systematic asset.

Black Bay 58 or Submariner: two market logics

The comparison comes up often. The steel Submariner resells above its retail price, but it is hard to obtain and costs almost three times as much. The Black Bay 58 resells below, but it is immediately available and its entry cost is much lower. In euros, the potential loss on a 58 bought new remains around €1,000. Our article on Submariner market value details the other side of this comparison.

For a first purchase, recent pre-owned is probably the most rational route: you leave the depreciation to the first owner and often benefit from the remainder of the Tudor warranty.

Selling your Black Bay 58

The market is deep and the sale quick, provided you are realistic about the price. A dealer will offer an immediate buy-back price 15 to 25% below market value, which is logical given their margin and the abundance of supply. A direct private sale lets you get closer to the top of the range, for a little more effort. Our comparison of sales channels helps you choose. On the tax side, in France a steel Black Bay 58 sold for less than €5,000 is not subject to the flat tax; the gold version is, at 6.5%, unless you opt for the capital gains regime. If you live elsewhere, check your own country's rules. The steps are detailed on our sell your watch page.

In short

The Black Bay 58 is a watch to wear, not to speculate on: its depreciation is real but concentrated in the first years, and its pre-owned value remains readable. The black and the blue on a steel bracelet are the easiest to resell; the bronze and the 925 appeal to a more targeted audience; the gold version follows another logic. Before buying or selling, calculate your Black Bay 58's market value: the reference, year, bracelet and accessories are enough to get a range based on our price surveys.